Modeling and forecasting a firm’s financial statements with a VAR – VECM model
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Forecasting with a noncausal VAR model
We propose simulation-based forecasting methods for the noncausal vector autoregressive model proposed by Lanne and Saikkonen (2012). Simulation or numerical methods are required because the prediction problem is generally nonlinear and, therefore, its analytical solution is not available. It turns out that different special cases of the model call for different simulation procedures. Simulatio...
متن کاملForecasting Fraudulent Financial Statements using Data Mining
This paper explores the effectiveness of machine learning techniques in detecting firms that issue fraudulent financial statements (FFS) and deals with the identification of factors associated to FFS. To this end, a number of experiments have been conducted using representative learning algorithms, which were trained using a data set of 164 fraud and non-fraud Greek firms in the recent period 2...
متن کاملA hybrid model based on machine learning and genetic algorithm for detecting fraud in financial statements
Financial statement fraud has increasingly become a serious problem for business, government, and investors. In fact, this threatens the reliability of capital markets, corporate heads, and even the audit profession. Auditors in particular face their apparent inability to detect large-scale fraud, and there are various ways to identify this problem. In order to identify this problem, the majori...
متن کاملa comparison of teachers and supervisors, with respect to teacher efficacy and reflection
supervisors play an undeniable role in training teachers, before starting their professional experience by preparing them, at the initial years of their teaching by checking their work within the proper framework, and later on during their teaching by assessing their progress. but surprisingly, exploring their attributes, professional demands, and qualifications has remained a neglected theme i...
15 صفحه اولFinancial time series forecasting with a bio-inspired fuzzy model
0957-4174/$ see front matter 2012 Elsevier Ltd. A http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2012.02.135 ⇑ Corresponding author. E-mail address: jose-luis.aznarte@mines-paristech In general, times series forecasting is considered as a highly complex problem, which is particularly true for financial time series. In this paper, a fuzzy model evolved through a bio-inspired algorithm is proposed to produce a...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Brazilian Business Review
سال: 2011
ISSN: 1808-2386
DOI: 10.15728/bbr.2011.8.3.2